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Shocking Prediction! Blue-Bruise-A-Paloozah 2020
Jul 01, 2020 - 12:15 AM - by SR71
Feeling pretty frisky lately, so I'm going way out on a limb here and saying the Democrats are gonna get a proper wave this time out.

Let's go with a bird theme here. Let's begin with my personal feeling back during the part where the senate was refusing to see the perfidious ways of His Vainglorious Preeminence, where I was hoping they hitched their wagon to the wrong stink-heineyed toad licker...

For the nonce I retreat to my faptasy where the rest of the nation makes the GOP wear the tangerine tantrum babby around their neck for killing whatever morsels of legitimacy remained in our political structure the way the crew made the ancient mariner wear the fucking dead albatross. Except that the mariner is the only one to survive the story. Gotta rescript that part.
Now he's been shat upon by a giant black swan, and this is key, because black swans matter, because they're terrible things that everybody sees and experiences all at the same time. There's no amount of hocus pocus razzle dazzle fast talk that can turn his utter shit response to the virus into anything other than utter shit. It's not transmutable by redefinition. It just plain sucked and everybody sees that.

Now there's this thing with the Russian bounties on our troops heads. I don't know how much weight it'll carry, but for all the hoopla over Benghazzi!, the republican congress critters oughta be hysterically poking their own eyes out or something. In any case, they forewent the chance to dump the asshole and they probably have buyers' remorse about it, but there's no backing away from him at this point, even if they try.... [Read More]
20 Replies | 510 Views
Fuckin' banks, how do they work?
Jun 13, 2020 - 6:08 AM - by Kyuss Apollo
We may be about to find out, again. Remember in 2008 when we all suddenly discovered what "mortgage-backed securities" were because they were totally fucking up the economy? According to UC Berkeley law professor Frank Portnoy in the July/August Atlantic, the US is likely facing another banking collapse, this time because of that time-honored practice of investing in "collateralized loan obligations" and "variable interest entities."

"Wait a second," you say, "I don't have any collateralized loan obligations. I just have a mortgage, a checking account and a couple credit cards. And WTF even is a variable interest entity?"

Well over the last few years while you were busy living the dream, your bank was busy building up its portfolio of collateralized loan obligations, i.e., lending money to a bunch of companies that were about to go under. This was a real shite idea even before Covid-19. And these fly as AAA investments because their "top layers" are legit, so the ratings companies say their are all good even though most of a CLO are loans to B and C rated companies. And because the loans are spread across the entire country and among many different lenders, conventional wisdom predicts it unlikely that many of them would default at the same time. You know, like the conventional wisdom about real estate markets being entirely local back in 2007-2008.

Except, pandemic.

And variable interest entities are like...well mostly no one knows because, banks, but the ones we do know know about are based on commercial loans to malls and office parks. Malls are doing really well except no...malls across the country have been closing left and right because, Amazon.com. And office parks were great investments... [Read More]
5 Replies | 919 Views
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